— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
28¢
icon
27¢
aifs
17¢
hres
16¢
nbm
9¢
eps
4¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
76–77°F1¢
78–79°F4¢
80–81°F14¢
82–83°F27¢
84–85°F29¢
86–87°F18¢
88–89°F6¢
90–91°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 7, scored on 8,335 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.605 vs climatology 8.757.
Receipts
prop id WP-KMIA-20261026-TMAX-GE88 · opened 2026-10-19T07:32:59+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape