daily prop · Milwaukee, WI · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Fri Oct 23

Milwaukee runs hot-for-here: 72°F+ · Fri Oct 23

11¢

american +778 · decimal 8.78

on the tape

72°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 72°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		79¢
aifs		65¢
nbm		6¢
eps		5¢
icon		4¢
hres		3¢
ndfd		3¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

58–59°F1¢

60–61°F3¢

62–63°F8¢

64–65°F16¢

66–67°F22¢

68–69°F22¢

70–71°F15¢

72–73°F8¢

74–75°F3¢

76–77°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,413 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.902 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KMKE-20261023-TMAX-GE72 · opened 2026-10-16T13:28:31+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape