daily prop · Milwaukee, WI · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Sat Oct 24

Milwaukee runs hot-for-here: 71°F+ · Sat Oct 24

26¢

american +279 · decimal 3.79

on the tape

71°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 71°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		85¢
aifs		64¢
icon		35¢
nbm		12¢
eps		12¢
hres		8¢
ndfd		7¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

58–59°F1¢

60–61°F3¢

62–63°F7¢

64–65°F13¢

66–67°F19¢

68–69°F21¢

70–71°F17¢

72–73°F11¢

74–75°F5¢

76–77°F2¢

calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,364 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.162 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KMKE-20261024-TMAX-GE71 · opened 2026-10-17T07:44:29+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape