WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Mon Sep 14

Minneapolis high ≥ 70.3°F · Mon Sep 14

72¢
american -251 · decimal 1.4
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 70°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢08/3009/0709/14 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
hres
92¢
eps
80¢
wn2
78¢
nbm
54¢
aifs
44¢
icon
24¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F1¢
62–63°F6¢
64–65°F18¢
66–67°F30¢
68–69°F27¢
70–71°F14¢
72–73°F4¢
74–75°F0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20260914-TMAX-GE70 · opened 2026-09-07T14:03:25+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape