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daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Mon Sep 14

Minneapolis high ≥ 75°F · Mon Sep 14

12¢
american +762 · decimal 8.62
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 75°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢08/3009/0909/14 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
ndfd
55¢
eps
41¢
nbm
38¢
hres
23¢
wn2
7¢
aifs
6¢
icon
1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F1¢
62–63°F4¢
64–65°F14¢
66–67°F27¢
68–69°F29¢
70–71°F18¢
72–73°F6¢
74–75°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20260914-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-09-09T15:08:27+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape