WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
week prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Mon Sep 14

Minneapolis touches 90°F sometime this week

3¢
american +3717 · decimal 38.17
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/0709/0709/08 06:38
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Tue Sep 8
0¢
Wed Sep 9
0¢
Thu Sep 10
0¢
Fri Sep 11
2¢
Sat Sep 12
0¢
Sun Sep 13
0¢
Mon Sep 14
0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20260914-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-09-07T14:03:25+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape