— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
89¢
icon
85¢
wn2
81¢
aifs
79¢
hres
63¢
ndfd
55¢
nbm
52¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F1¢
66–67°F6¢
68–69°F19¢
70–71°F32¢
72–73°F27¢
74–75°F12¢
76–77°F3¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 12,689 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.564 vs climatology 9.295.
Receipts
prop id WP-KMSP-20260915-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-09-11T03:13:37+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape