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week prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Tue Sep 15

Minneapolis touches 90°F sometime this week

2¢
american +4900 · decimal 50.0
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/0909/0909/09 04:36
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Wed Sep 9
0¢
Thu Sep 10
0¢
Fri Sep 11
2¢
Sat Sep 12
0¢
Sun Sep 13
0¢
Mon Sep 14
0¢
Tue Sep 15
0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20260915-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-09-09T01:36:28+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape