daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Thu Sep 17

Minneapolis high ≥ 71°F · Thu Sep 17

78¢

american -353 · decimal 1.28

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 71°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		89¢
icon		80¢
aifs		75¢
hres		75¢
wn2		75¢
nbm		57¢
ndfd		55¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

68–69°F1¢

70–71°F13¢

72–73°F40¢

74–75°F36¢

76–77°F9¢

78–79°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20260917-TMAX-GE71 · opened 2026-09-10T11:26:21+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape