daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Thu Sep 17

Minneapolis high ≥ 77°F · Thu Sep 17

35¢

american +188 · decimal 2.88

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 77°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		66¢
ndfd		59¢
nbm		59¢
eps		47¢
hres		44¢
wn2		28¢
aifs		26¢
icon		4¢
hrrr		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

70–71°F1¢

72–73°F14¢

74–75°F41¢

76–77°F34¢

78–79°F8¢

80–81°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20260917-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-09-15T03:30:26+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape