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daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Thu Sep 17

Minneapolis high ≥ 78°F · Thu Sep 17

41¢
american +147 · decimal 2.47
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 78°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/0209/1209/17 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
nbm
74¢
ndfd
56¢
rrfs
51¢
hres
43¢
aifs
40¢
eps
32¢
wn2
25¢
icon
14¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
70–71°F1¢
72–73°F13¢
74–75°F40¢
76–77°F36¢
78–79°F9¢
80–81°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20260917-TMAX-GE78 · opened 2026-09-16T03:36:17+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape