daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Wed Sep 23

Minneapolis high ≥ 64°F · Wed Sep 23

70¢

american -231 · decimal 1.43

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 64°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

hrrr		99¢
rrfs		97¢
aifs		87¢
wn2		81¢
eps		72¢
hres		68¢
nbm		57¢
ndfd		56¢
icon		38¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20260923-TMAX-GE64 · opened 2026-09-22T15:32:24+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape