daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Fri Sep 25

Minneapolis high ≥ 69°F · Fri Sep 25

86¢

american -626 · decimal 1.16

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 69°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

now		100¢
rrfs		99¢
wn2		97¢
aifs		95¢
nbm		87¢
hres		86¢
eps		79¢
hrrr		75¢
ndfd		59¢
icon		29¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20260925-TMAX-GE69 · opened 2026-09-22T15:32:24+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape