WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Thu Oct 1

Minneapolis high ≥ 66°F · Thu Oct 1

80¢
american -403 · decimal 1.25
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 66°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/1609/2810/01 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
eps
100¢
aifs
85¢
wn2
84¢
rrfs
65¢
hres
60¢
ndfd
59¢
nbm
45¢
icon
43¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F1¢
62–63°F8¢
64–65°F32¢
66–67°F40¢
68–69°F16¢
70–71°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20261001-TMAX-GE66 · opened 2026-09-24T08:13:26+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape