daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Tue Oct 6

Minneapolis high ≥ 80°F · Tue Oct 6

28¢

american +257 · decimal 3.57

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 80°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

now		86¢
hrrr		81¢
rrfs		77¢
ndfd		59¢
aifs		51¢
nbm		37¢
wn2		29¢
hres		20¢
icon		15¢
eps		10¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20261006-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-10-05T16:04:44+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape