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week prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Wed Oct 14

Minneapolis touches 90°F sometime this week

8¢
american +1129 · decimal 12.29
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0710/0710/08 06:53
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Thu Oct 8
0¢
Fri Oct 9
0¢
Sat Oct 10
6¢
Sun Oct 11
2¢
Mon Oct 12
0¢
Tue Oct 13
0¢
Wed Oct 14
0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20261014-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-07T08:09:29+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape