daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Fri Oct 16

Minneapolis high ≥ 51°F · Fri Oct 16

77¢

american -341 · decimal 1.29

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 51°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		93¢
rrfs		87¢
wn2		87¢
aifs		84¢
hres		74¢
nbm		67¢
now		62¢
ndfd		59¢
icon		22¢
hrrr		8¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20261016-TMAX-GE51 · opened 2026-10-16T04:24:08+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape