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daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Mon Oct 19

Minneapolis high ≥ 64°F · Mon Oct 19

48¢
american +107 · decimal 2.07
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 64°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1710/19 03:45
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
hrrr
96¢
rrfs
92¢
aifs
78¢
wn2
66¢
ndfd
56¢
eps
56¢
hres
46¢
icon
27¢
nbm
25¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F7¢
62–63°F31¢
64–65°F43¢
66–67°F17¢
68–69°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20261019-TMAX-GE64 · opened 2026-10-17T04:41:44+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape