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daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Mon Oct 19

Minneapolis high ≥ 68°F · Mon Oct 19

25¢
american +307 · decimal 4.07
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 68°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1410/19 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
ndfd
54¢
nbm
44¢
aifs
43¢
wn2
30¢
hres
20¢
eps
12¢
icon
8¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F5¢
62–63°F30¢
64–65°F46¢
66–67°F17¢
68–69°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20261019-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-10-13T04:15:56+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape