daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Sun Oct 25

Minneapolis runs hot-for-here: 69°F+ · Sun Oct 25

26¢

american +284 · decimal 3.84

on the tape

69°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 69°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

hres		79¢
icon		69¢
eps		46¢
nbm		28¢
ndfd		13¢
aifs		13¢
wn2		4¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

52–53°F1¢

54–55°F2¢

56–57°F4¢

58–59°F7¢

60–61°F11¢

62–63°F14¢

64–65°F15¢

66–67°F14¢

68–69°F12¢

70–71°F8¢

72–73°F5¢

74–75°F3¢

76–77°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 6, scored on 14,214 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.858 vs climatology 8.861.

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20261025-TMAX-GE69 · opened 2026-10-18T08:01:19+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape