— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
ndfd
55¢
icon
48¢
aifs
44¢
wn2
42¢
nbm
23¢
eps
20¢
hres
11¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F1¢
70–71°F8¢
72–73°F23¢
74–75°F34¢
76–77°F24¢
78–79°F9¢
80–81°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,407 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.516 vs climatology 8.862.
Receipts
prop id WP-KMSY-20261019-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-10-15T15:34:07+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape