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daily prop · New Orleans, LA · Southeast · settles Mon Oct 19

New Orleans high ≥ 78°F · Mon Oct 19

NO
settled · observed 75
whiplash on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 78°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1410/19 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
aifs
56¢
ndfd
54¢
wn2
42¢
nbm
37¢
icon
30¢
eps
24¢
hres
13¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSY-20261019-TMAX-GE78 · opened 2026-10-15T04:02:07+00:00 · settled 2026-10-20T13:58:58+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape