daily prop · New Orleans, LA · Southeast · settles Mon Oct 19

New Orleans runs hot-for-here: 86°F+ · Mon Oct 19

2¢

american +6073 · decimal 61.73

on the tape

86°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 86°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		26¢
ndfd		14¢
nbm		10¢
aifs		6¢
wn2		4¢
hres		1¢
eps		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

68–69°F2¢

70–71°F9¢

72–73°F20¢

74–75°F29¢

76–77°F24¢

78–79°F12¢

80–81°F3¢

82–83°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,255 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.905 vs climatology 8.863.

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSY-20261019-TMAX-GE86 · opened 2026-10-12T07:48:17+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape