WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
week prop · New Orleans, LA · Southeast · settles Mon Oct 19

New Orleans touches 90°F sometime this week

58¢
american -136 · decimal 1.74
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/1210/1210/13 07:17
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Tue Oct 13
38¢
Wed Oct 14
16¢
Thu Oct 15
7¢
Fri Oct 16
7¢
Sat Oct 17
0¢
Sun Oct 18
1¢
Mon Oct 19
5¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSY-20261019-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-12T07:48:18+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape