WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
daily prop · New Orleans, LA · Southeast · settles Tue Oct 20

New Orleans high ≥ 78°F · Tue Oct 20

53¢
american -114 · decimal 1.88
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 78°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1710/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
nbm
75¢
ndfd
56¢
eps
53¢
wn2
51¢
rrfs
47¢
aifs
45¢
icon
37¢
hres
32¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
72–73°F1¢
74–75°F13¢
76–77°F43¢
78–79°F35¢
80–81°F7¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSY-20261020-TMAX-GE78 · opened 2026-10-17T04:41:38+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape