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daily prop · New Orleans, LA · Southeast · settles Tue Oct 20

New Orleans high ≥ 80°F · Tue Oct 20

27¢
american +268 · decimal 3.68
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 80°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1610/20 10:07
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
ndfd
59¢
nbm
56¢
aifs
34¢
wn2
29¢
rrfs
25¢
eps
22¢
hrrr
14¢
hres
12¢
icon
9¢
now
0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
72–73°F1¢
74–75°F13¢
76–77°F43¢
78–79°F35¢
80–81°F7¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSY-20261020-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-10-15T15:34:08+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape