week prop · New Orleans, LA · Southeast · settles Tue Oct 20
New Orleans touches 90°F sometime this week
22¢
american +344 · decimal 4.44
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.
The Tape
what the models knew, when
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Day by Day
the window, priced
Wed Oct 14
5¢
Thu Oct 15
5¢
Fri Oct 16
12¢
Sat Oct 17
0¢
Sun Oct 18
0¢
Mon Oct 19
1¢
Tue Oct 20
1¢
Receipts
prop id WP-KMSY-20261020-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-13T08:03:26+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape