daily prop · New Orleans, LA · Southeast · settles Mon Oct 26

New Orleans runs hot-for-here: 85°F+ · Mon Oct 26

4¢

american +2749 · decimal 28.49

on the tape

85°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 85°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		30¢
nbm		16¢
aifs		14¢
ndfd		13¢
wn2		9¢
hres		8¢
eps		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

68–69°F1¢

70–71°F3¢

72–73°F8¢

74–75°F14¢

76–77°F20¢

78–79°F21¢

80–81°F16¢

82–83°F10¢

84–85°F4¢

86–87°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 6, scored on 14,266 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.855 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSY-20261026-TMAX-GE85 · opened 2026-10-19T07:33:06+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape