daily prop · Oklahoma City, OK · Plains & South Central · settles Wed Oct 21

Oklahoma City high ≥ 77°F · Wed Oct 21

66¢

american -190 · decimal 1.53

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 77°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		89¢
wn2		82¢
aifs		77¢
hres		72¢
eps		70¢
ndfd		56¢
icon		47¢
nbm		41¢
hrrr		39¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

70–71°F1¢

72–73°F5¢

74–75°F16¢

76–77°F29¢

78–79°F29¢

80–81°F16¢

82–83°F5¢

84–85°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,511 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.514 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KOKC-20261021-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-10-18T04:14:22+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape