daily prop · Oklahoma City, OK · Plains & South Central · settles Wed Oct 21

Oklahoma City runs hot-for-here: 83°F+ · Wed Oct 21

2¢

american +4286 · decimal 43.86

on the tape

83°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 83°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		31¢
aifs		22¢
eps		18¢
hres		15¢
wn2		13¢
ndfd		4¢
icon		4¢
nbm		0¢
hrrr		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

70–71°F1¢

72–73°F5¢

74–75°F16¢

76–77°F29¢

78–79°F29¢

80–81°F16¢

82–83°F5¢

84–85°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,511 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.514 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KOKC-20261021-TMAX-GE83 · opened 2026-10-15T15:34:28+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape