daily prop · Oklahoma City, OK · Plains & South Central · settles Mon Oct 26

Oklahoma City runs hot-for-here: 81°F+ · Mon Oct 26

16¢

american +511 · decimal 6.11

on the tape

81°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 81°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		33¢
hres		30¢
eps		23¢
aifs		20¢
wn2		15¢
nbm		14¢
ndfd		10¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

64–65°F1¢

66–67°F3¢

68–69°F6¢

70–71°F9¢

72–73°F13¢

74–75°F16¢

76–77°F16¢

78–79°F14¢

80–81°F10¢

82–83°F6¢

84–85°F3¢

86–87°F2¢

88–89°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 6, scored on 14,266 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.855 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KOKC-20261026-TMAX-GE81 · opened 2026-10-19T07:33:25+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape