daily prop · Omaha, NE · Plains & South Central · settles Sat Oct 17

Omaha freezes: low ≤ 32°F · Sat Oct 17

settled · observed 34

whiplash on the tape

Settles on the official low temperature.

Canonical settlement condition: Low ≤ 32°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 84¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		71¢
nbm		54¢
icon		36¢
wn2		34¢
hres		5¢
ndfd		0¢
eps		0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KOMA-20261017-TMIN-LE32 · opened 2026-10-14T11:20:55+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:08:24+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape