— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
rrfs
58¢
ndfd
56¢
wn2
50¢
aifs
45¢
eps
25¢
icon
23¢
hres
15¢
nbm
13¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F1¢
70–71°F7¢
72–73°F20¢
74–75°F31¢
76–77°F26¢
78–79°F12¢
80–81°F3¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,511 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.514 vs climatology 8.854.
Receipts
prop id WP-KOMA-20261021-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-10-14T10:33:42+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape