daily prop · Omaha, NE · Plains & South Central · settles Fri Oct 23

Omaha runs hot-for-here: 78°F+ · Fri Oct 23

46¢

american +118 · decimal 2.18

on the tape

78°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 78°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		68¢
wn2		62¢
nbm		56¢
icon		47¢
aifs		44¢
hres		27¢
eps		23¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

68–69°F1¢

70–71°F4¢

72–73°F10¢

74–75°F18¢

76–77°F24¢

78–79°F22¢

80–81°F14¢

82–83°F6¢

84–85°F2¢

calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,413 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.902 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KOMA-20261023-TMAX-GE78 · opened 2026-10-17T15:25:02+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape