daily prop · Portland, OR · West Coast & Southwest · settles Sat Oct 17

Portland runs hot-for-here: 72°F+ · Sat Oct 17

settled · observed 67

whiplash on the tape

72°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 72°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		96¢
rrfs		18¢
aifs		13¢
hres		6¢
ndfd		4¢
icon		3¢
wn2		2¢
nbm		1¢
hrrr		0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPDX-20261017-TMAX-GE72 · opened 2026-10-10T22:28:05+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:08:33+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape