— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
91¢
rrfs
90¢
aifs
78¢
wn2
78¢
nbm
75¢
ndfd
56¢
hres
51¢
icon
50¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
54–55°F2¢
56–57°F7¢
58–59°F15¢
60–61°F22¢
62–63°F23¢
64–65°F17¢
66–67°F8¢
68–69°F3¢
70–71°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,205 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.906 vs climatology 8.875.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPDX-20261019-TMAX-GE62 · opened 2026-10-12T07:49:02+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape