daily prop · Portland, OR · West Coast & Southwest · settles Mon Oct 19

Portland high ≥ 64°F · Mon Oct 19

58¢

american -140 · decimal 1.72

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 64°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		85¢
eps		83¢
wn2		68¢
aifs		68¢
ndfd		59¢
nbm		59¢
hres		39¢
icon		24¢
hrrr		24¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

58–59°F1¢

60–61°F11¢

62–63°F38¢

64–65°F38¢

66–67°F11¢

68–69°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPDX-20261019-TMAX-GE64 · opened 2026-10-18T14:56:09+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape