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daily prop · Portland, OR · West Coast & Southwest · settles Tue Oct 20

Portland high ≥ 75°F · Tue Oct 20

36¢
american +175 · decimal 2.75
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 75°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1410/20 10:07
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
hrrr
75¢
rrfs
60¢
ndfd
59¢
now
53¢
nbm
41¢
aifs
37¢
eps
35¢
hres
34¢
wn2
27¢
icon
26¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
70–71°F3¢
72–73°F28¢
74–75°F52¢
76–77°F17¢
78–79°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPDX-20261020-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-10-20T04:05:38+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape