WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
daily prop · Philadelphia, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Sun Oct 18

Philadelphia stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 55°F · Sun Oct 18

NO
settled · observed 61
whiplash on the tape
55°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).
Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 55°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0310/1510/18 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 93¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
icon
25¢
hres
17¢
rrfs
16¢
hrrr
9¢
eps
6¢
ndfd
5¢
nbm
4¢
aifs
2¢
wn2
1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPHL-20261018-TMAX-LE55 · opened 2026-10-14T10:32:05+00:00 · settled 2026-10-19T13:41:23+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape