daily prop · Phoenix, AZ · West Coast & Southwest · settles Sun Oct 18

A 90° day in Phoenix · Sun Oct 18

settled · observed 84

on the tape

Settles YES on an official high of 90°F or hotter.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 90°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

hres		47¢
nbm		20¢
ndfd		15¢
eps		15¢
rrfs		4¢
aifs		2¢
wn2		1¢
icon		0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPHX-20261018-TMAX-GE90 · opened 2026-10-11T07:32:54+00:00 · settled 2026-10-19T13:41:36+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape