daily prop · Phoenix, AZ · West Coast & Southwest · settles Sun Oct 18

Phoenix runs hot-for-here: 96°F+ · Sun Oct 18

settled · observed 84

on the tape

96°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 96°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		14¢
icon		4¢
ndfd		3¢
hres		3¢
eps		2¢
nbm		2¢
wn2		1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPHX-20261018-TMAX-GE96 · opened 2026-10-11T07:32:54+00:00 · settled 2026-10-19T13:41:37+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape