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daily prop · Phoenix, AZ · West Coast & Southwest · settles Mon Oct 19

A 90° day in Phoenix · Mon Oct 19

26¢
american +283 · decimal 3.83
on the tape
Settles YES on an official high of 90°F or hotter.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 90°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1510/19 06:47
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
rrfs
67¢
aifs
60¢
nbm
44¢
hres
42¢
ndfd
41¢
wn2
26¢
eps
23¢
hrrr
14¢
icon
2¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
84–85°F3¢
86–87°F21¢
88–89°F44¢
90–91°F27¢
92–93°F5¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPHX-20261019-TMAX-GE90 · opened 2026-10-12T07:49:15+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape