WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
daily prop · Phoenix, AZ · West Coast & Southwest · settles Tue Oct 20

Phoenix high ≥ 93°F · Tue Oct 20

47¢
american +115 · decimal 2.15
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 93°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1410/20 10:07
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
now
78¢
rrfs
75¢
aifs
71¢
hrrr
68¢
ndfd
59¢
nbm
59¢
wn2
58¢
hres
44¢
eps
27¢
icon
6¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
88–89°F4¢
90–91°F27¢
92–93°F46¢
94–95°F20¢
96–97°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPHX-20261020-TMAX-GE93 · opened 2026-10-20T04:05:57+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape