week prop · Phoenix, AZ · West Coast & Southwest · settles Thu Oct 22
Phoenix touches 90°F sometime this week
66¢
american -198 · decimal 1.51
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.
The Tape
what the models knew, when
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Day by Day
the window, priced
Fri Oct 16
34¢
Sat Oct 17
0¢
Sun Oct 18
2¢
Mon Oct 19
13¢
Tue Oct 20
30¢
Wed Oct 21
13¢
Thu Oct 22
2¢
Receipts
prop id WP-KPHX-20261022-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-15T07:50:44+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape