week prop · Phoenix, AZ · West Coast & Southwest · settles Tue Oct 27
Phoenix touches 90°F sometime this week
53¢
american -113 · decimal 1.88
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.
The Tape
what the models knew, when
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Day by Day
the window, priced
Wed Oct 21
25¢
Thu Oct 22
1¢
Fri Oct 23
0¢
Sat Oct 24
1¢
Sun Oct 25
6¢
Mon Oct 26
15¢
Tue Oct 27
20¢
Receipts
prop id WP-KPHX-20261027-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-20T10:54:34+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape