— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
92¢
wn2
90¢
hres
89¢
rrfs
84¢
eps
64¢
icon
61¢
nbm
57¢
ndfd
56¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
78–79°F1¢
80–81°F5¢
82–83°F18¢
84–85°F32¢
86–87°F29¢
88–89°F13¢
90–91°F3¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 12,366 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.569 vs climatology 9.34.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260909-TMAX-GE84 · opened 2026-09-07T14:03:22+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape