— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
91¢
aifs
87¢
hres
85¢
eps
80¢
nbm
79¢
icon
60¢
ndfd
56¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
74–75°F4¢
76–77°F16¢
78–79°F31¢
80–81°F30¢
82–83°F14¢
84–85°F3¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 12,472 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.568 vs climatology 9.329.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260911-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-09-07T14:03:22+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape