— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hres
63¢
aifs
59¢
wn2
26¢
icon
24¢
eps
23¢
ndfd
20¢
nbm
18¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
72–73°F1¢
74–75°F6¢
76–77°F16¢
78–79°F27¢
80–81°F27¢
82–83°F16¢
84–85°F6¢
86–87°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 12,423 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.751 vs climatology 9.329.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260912-TMAX-GE84 · opened 2026-09-07T14:03:22+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape