— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
84¢
wn2
82¢
rrfs
75¢
nbm
67¢
hres
62¢
ndfd
57¢
eps
24¢
icon
21¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
74–75°F1¢
76–77°F4¢
78–79°F13¢
80–81°F26¢
82–83°F29¢
84–85°F19¢
86–87°F7¢
88–89°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 12,374 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.963 vs climatology 9.328.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260913-TMAX-GE82 · opened 2026-09-07T15:36:54+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape