— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
72¢
nbm
67¢
hres
64¢
ndfd
57¢
icon
38¢
eps
31¢
wn2
26¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
74–75°F1¢
76–77°F11¢
78–79°F41¢
80–81°F38¢
82–83°F9¢
84–85°F0¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 12,639 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.565 vs climatology 9.303.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260915-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-09-12T03:17:41+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape